And in many of them, Democrats’ odds might be even higher based on the latest polls. It's time for the closing show, with the campaign coming together for a final GOTV event in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. As Election Day nears, a number of races for the U.S. Senate are highly contested, and some of them could determine which party controls the chamber in 2021. To be clear, polling is bullish on Democratic frontrunner Raphael Warnock. And that’s true, regardless of which of the three versions of the forecast you look at. Two independents, Angus King of Maine and Bernie Sanders of Vermont, caucus with the Democrats. It shows U.S. Sen. Susan Collins losing 51 percent to 42 percent to House Speaker Sara Gideon! In fact, the Lite (polls only), Classic (polls and fundamentals), and Deluxe (polls, fundamentals and expert race ratings) don’t currently show that much difference. Txt HELP for help, STOP to end. It’s the most expensive race in Maine history and it has the potential to determine which party controls the U.S. Senate. 5:38 PM, ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / FABIO BUONOCORE. Mary Snow, a polling analyst at Quinnipiac University, noted that the poll was conducted for several days after the first Senate debate on Friday, which may have moved some voters. Polls show they’re in a tight race as Collins seeks a fifth term and Gideon tries to unseat her. “I think it's entirely likely that the voters for Lisa Savage, this small group of progressive voters, may decide the next senator from Maine," Shea said. This race, which pits incumbent Republican Sen. David Perdue against Democrat Jon Ossoff, falls in the “toss-up” zone in the Lite edition of our forecast — where neither party has a 60 percent chance or better of winning — while it leans toward the GOP in the Deluxe version. Collins, a fourth-term Republican, led among voters who cited the economy or law and order as their top issue, the poll found. The margin of error was 3.7 percent and the sample was weighted to match key demographics. That difference comes down to Georgia’s traditional Republican lean, which is at odds with some polls that show Ossoff leading Perdue, but it’s possible that these polls are picking up on a move away from the fundamentals in Georgia. In Maine and North Carolina, meanwhile, the different versions of the forecast agree that Democrats have an advantage, but in both states the polls point to a much stronger edge. Susan Collins (24) stream All in all, though, the polls-only Lite version of the forecast gives Democrats a better shot at winning many critical seats in the battle for Senate control. ;o^D��Ȼ�xC���+Q���熕1��f��:Q�ciIh���?3���r Run Fast. 1739 An attorney for WMTW defended the decision in an email to the Savage campaign, saying that neither independent has demonstrated strong enough support to win and that the law does not require they be invited. For SMS, Msg&Data rates may apply. Phil: A-yuh. Gideon, the speaker of the Maine House, leads Collins, 47% to 43%, among likely voters, according to the poll by Colby College in Waterville, Maine, and first reported by USA TODAY. The poll was conducted Oct. 21-25, with 879 likely voters surveyed. In the GOP-held seats in Alaska and Kansas, the Democratic candidates are pretty clear underdogs, but their chances do tick upward in the polls-only version of the forecast. The Democratic challenger to Collins raised $7.1mil to Collin's just $2.4mil In the first quarter of 2020. 18 0 obj "If she doesn't get a lot of split-ticket voters, voters that will vote for Joe Biden, and then her, she's going to return to private life," he said. If you don't mind the ads and would rather donate, please select one of the options below: NOTE: We will be changing to a new commenting platform in the next couple of weeks. G � {�IfA�it�ГQ��G�zG�w�0L�v�@�R�,��_�a&�L仩��`��;N���ڕ(y���BY��}�=�RcK����7���-V��:�0�Ҍc�^�.��2��n:bmv˨����M/��R��(��=�td��F{���>�_��T�zg��u���w-���:��E��6�H��q�Eeɝ�z/bW�wn1Gwr��yH~�ЯN�����A�Q{�^�5%���F���������JZ�bɯ��8��Nxt�����*y�����(Q�endstream There is a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points. <> As a result, Collins, who was first elected in 1996, has attempted to distance herself from Trump and has repeatedly criticized the president. Both the Senate and presidential results from Quinnipiac are significantly better for Democrats than other polling in the last few months, even as previous polling has shown Democrats with an advantage most of the year. With seven weeks to go, polls also are not predictive. Mark Kelly (7)

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View our. Maine news, sports, politics, election results, and obituaries. Can you chip in to help? I know that we can win this race, but we need to be able to maintain this momentum all the way to November. All posts tagged “Sara Gideon” ... 2020. We understand some users are having problems with comments loading and this will hopefully remedy that problem.

<> Dan Shea, Colby College Government Department chair and lead researcher on the poll, noted there hasn’t been much movement over the past few months between Gideon and Collins, as there are few undecided voters left.

Quinnipiac is rated a B+ pollster according to FiveThirtyEight, with a track record of calling 83 percent of races correctly and a bias of 0.2 percentage points in favor of Democrats. More: More than 66 million people have already voted. A new poll shows Democrat Sara Gideon opening up a large lead in the Maine Senate race over GOP Sen. Susan Collins, a result that diverges from other data showing a … at a campaign rally," Trump told the adoring throng to wait until after the election. A��&}w��B:�I��T���.��w�_��d�W�q���H4��&�B�/U�F_m~x{�����{�0g��y|ջ�Xp�3�T�Rs�@�s-��TpV`F\�"KM3 “This is a snapshot.”. A couple of politicos, a Democrat and a Republican, mentioned the poll today in their Bangor Daily News column.
Here's how that compares with past elections.

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